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Super Weekend - Rightwing Bush Man Poised to become Liberal Saviour

By Gary Morton October.2.2006

      Liberal organizers carried him back from his long sojourn in America. And like Stephen Harper praise for the failed war on terror, war in Iraq and war in Afghanistan is still fresh on his lips. He’s still shaking off rust in his knowledge of Canadian politics, but what he lacks is being supplemented by the high placed party hacks, adoring right wing media, cash flow and Liberal Party members that just want to somehow win. They’ve uncritically swabbed his mouth every time he’s put his foot in it and have now catapulted him to the front of the pack, as the man to beat at the Liberal Leadership convention. 

   Michael Ignatieff has done well and though he’s not the darling of the left or even the centre, he is the beloved of rightwing columnists and editors at papers like the Toronto Sun and the Globe. Many of them seeing him as a dream come true; a Harper light candidate who’ll be in line with most of their bidding should the unthinkable happen and the Tories get cast by the electoral wayside. 

   As predicted the race did narrow in the voting. With most of the super weekend ballot in Ken Dryden, Joe Volpe, Scot Brison and Martha Hall Findlay are out of the race. Dryden and Volpe sit at around four and a half percent while Brison is at four percent and Findlay one percent. Dryden has the highest profile among Canadian voters and is still considered important to have onside.

   Ignatieff has about 30 percent of the ballot and Bob Rae about 20 percent. These two have the most strength across the country. Corporate media is playing it that Rae had a poor showing in Ontario, but he in fact has a respectable 17 percent which is as much as Ignatieff has in BC where Rae fared much better than him.

Gerard Kennedy did surprisingly well with 17 percent nationally and a strong showing in Ontario and Alberta. He has to overcome his weak numbers in Quebec to be seen as a winner at the convention. Dion also grabbed close to 17 percent of the national vote, but with only 10 percent in Ontario he has the same type of trouble as Kennedy. 

   How this will play out in the weeks leading to and at the convention is unknown. No one knows what wildcards may emerge to influence the vote, but if none do then it will be hard work on behalf of the candidates that counts. Some think that Ignatieff has strong support among 1000 ex-officio delegates – MPs, senators and other senior liberals. Kennedy also has strong support of that type in Ontario. Rae is the favored second ballot choice of delegates and if that holds he may be the one to kill off Ignatieff. Dion could also come up if his campaign strengthens and gains support before the convention.

   At the end of super weekend Michael Ignatieff remains the man to beat, and it is almost certain that George Bush will be hovering by the phone waiting to rush that congratulatory call through. That’s if he can get through before Jack Layton, who’ll have a bigger reason to celebrate when NDP butts have been saved from annihilation by the election of a right-winger in the Liberal Party. 

   For some on the right and on the left, Michael Ignatieff is a saviour indeed.

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* Note, The Convention, selecting a new leader, occurs Nov.28 - Dec.3 2006 in Montreal.

Read: Michael Ignatieff: Has the Egghead Fallen from the Wall
Read: The Chubya Harper Reports
Read: The Liberal Leadership - How the Candidates Taste on Ice

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